Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.328543 3.938205 4.598102 5.361914 6.218020 7.144402 8.218952
2026-01-25 2.357046 3.135228 4.049529 5.188718 6.555150 8.126602 10.054830
2026-02-01 1.709617 2.554034 3.627700 5.059059 6.881401 9.087949 11.922816
2026-02-08 1.254252 2.107096 3.278875 4.943337 7.179477 10.011416 13.794220
2026-02-15 0.941051 1.778066 3.018048 4.886489 7.520743 10.989977 15.780002
2026-02-22 0.776862 1.629881 2.978719 5.113609 8.243073 12.493399 18.513674
2026-03-01 0.604806 1.423860 2.812499 5.124667 8.648918 13.582151 20.743720
2026-03-08 0.426375 1.153669 2.491344 4.849064 8.598861 14.019294 22.093231
2026-03-15 0.305438 0.954077 2.247652 4.654743 8.636610 14.562249 23.592863
2026-03-22 0.262232 0.908456 2.272031 4.903830 9.371438 16.145899 26.621654
2026-03-29 0.237606 0.899343 2.362879 5.272747 10.315393 18.075791 30.213509
2026-04-05 0.208917 0.870349 2.407726 5.559555 11.137243 19.849597 33.631653
2026-04-12 0.165586 0.786694 2.328808 5.618106 11.596027 21.109093 36.371181
2026-04-19 0.118500 0.667844 2.148753 5.461978 11.675192 21.778754 38.252331
2026-04-26 0.084583 0.571462 1.997853 5.341085 11.800441 22.519032 40.258885
2026-05-03 0.059506 0.489390 1.861335 5.228811 11.925874 23.255692 42.274048
2026-05-10 0.042431 0.426788 1.759403 5.174494 12.148217 24.153345 44.561136
2026-05-17 0.035988 0.413171 1.790638 5.414752 12.933587 26.011552 48.408886
2026-05-24 0.026273 0.370038 1.725281 5.428207 13.284797 27.149477 51.140947
2026-05-31 0.015000 0.296129 1.542064 5.141372 13.029242 27.238792 52.188127
2026-06-07 0.008511 0.242183 1.403573 4.938864 12.919464 27.565612 53.618414
2026-06-14 0.007212 0.239596 1.447764 5.199706 13.764228 29.591001 57.879668
2026-06-21 0.006833 0.248536 1.537538 5.585451 14.882833 32.129593 63.038110